Letter from America
February 15, 2010
MDC must insist on iron-clad
guarantees for free and fair elections
The harsh judgment on Robert
Mugabe and ZANU is coming fast from all sides.
The
European Union representatives have recommended that targeted sanctions
against Mugabe and ZANU must continue.
Mugabe’s
partner in the transitional administration, Morgan Tsvangirai of the MDC-T,
has declared a deadlock in negotiations on the global political agreement
with ZANU and is now calling for new free and fair elections.
In
addition, the strike by civil servants is gathering momentum with reports
more unions are planning to join the strike.
The public
and international judgment on the global political agreement is that its
full implementation has been a complete failure , even though there were
some promising aspects in the area of economic growth and fiscal reforms.
Yet when
the global political agreement was signed and a new transitional
administration formed a year ago, there was great jubilation among many
Zimbabweans.
But there
were also many other Zimbabweans who were skeptical that Mugabe and ZANU
were sincere and were going to honor the agreement.
There were
visible and obvious signs right from the beginning that all was not well
with the implementation of the global political agreement. Mugabe and ZANU
were hell-bent to undermine the agreement.
According
to Amnesty International and other organizations that have been monitoring
the situation in Zimbabwe, there has not been a noticeable and significant
improvement in human rights in Zimbabwe.
Amnesty
International pointed out that torture, harassment and politically motivated
prosecutions of human rights defenders and perceived opponents have
persisted, while villagers in parts of Zimbabwe have suffered ceaseless
intimidation by supporters of former ruling party ZANU-PF.
"The
Attorney General's office, police and army have been left to freely violate
human rights in pursuit of a political agenda," said Erwin van der Borght,
Africa Director at Amnesty International.
In 1958,
Nigerian novelist, Chinhua Achebe, wrote a book called Things Fall Apart.
The book may have been an apocalyptic description of what was to happen to
Zimbabwe 52 years later.
Mugabe and
ZANU are trying to hold on to their repressive machinery. It represents the
only world that they are familiar with.
But they
also know only too well that their criminal habits and practices of looting
the state assets, inflicting violence and mayhem on innocent civilians and
rigging elections or refusing to accept electoral defeat are against the
political culture of the modern Zimbabweans.
Everyone
knows that Mugabe must rely on violence to stay in power. A recent poll
suggested that if elections were held today, Mugabe would be very lucky to
win 30 percent of the votes.
This,
incidentally is exactly what Mugabe and ZANU got in the 2008 presidential
and parliamentary elections before he changed the numbers.
Mugabe is
fully aware that he no longer has any support from Zimbabweans. Zimbabweans
know that Mugabe is refusing to fully implement the global agreement. They
are also very much aware that MDC has been effective in a space of just one
year within taking office in making noticeable improvements in the economy
which resulted in the retiring of the worthless and much hated Zimbabwe
dollar.
Even more,
Tsvangirai and the MDC ministers have been recognized internationally. They
have no travel restrictions and they can go to any country where they have
been treated with respect, and have managed to win millions of dollars to
improve Zimbabwe’s economy.
In a
remarkable contrast, Mugabe and ZANU behave like common criminals, which
they, in fact, are. In all their international interactions, they are
always in an attack mode. They want their point of view to prevail. They do
not believe in give and take.
Quite
frankly, both the international community and the majority of Zimbabweans
prefer a Zimbabwean government that is run by the MDC led by Tsvangirai.
The
selection of leaders for Zimbabwe is a constitutional responsibility of the
people of Zimbabwe.
The
compelling need for new elections is a logical tenet of a democratic theory
that, if the leadership fails to carry out their mandate, they should go
back to the people for new elections.
One example
of the leadership failure is the global political agreement has not been
fully implemented. The transitional administration is in a state of
paralysis, dysfunctional and unable to progressively advance the interests
of Zimbabweans.
MDC and
ZANU have failed to work collaboratively together largely because of
Mugabe’s intransigence. A lion’s share of power in the transitional
administration is held by Mugabe and ZANU, and Tsvangirai and the MDC are
increasingly being marginalized.
ZANU
ministers in the transitional administration are openly defying Tsvangirai.
Tsvangirai himself is barred by lower officers loyal to ZANU from
visiting jails to inspect the condition of the Zimbabwe’s prison system. The
army chiefs have starkly refused to meet Tsvangirai. They say they do not
recognize him. Yet Tsvangirai is the prime minister with clearly defined
executive powers.
These are
the indicators of a deadlocked transitional administration. Negotiations for
the full implementation of the global political agreement are now like
chasing a rainbow. They are leading to nowhere because Mugabe and ZANU are
refusing to give concessions needed for the full implementation of the
global political agreement.
To its
credit, MDC is now calling for new elections . This will effectively give
Zimbabweans the final say in who will govern them. So the focus must now
shift towards agreeing on the process that will lead to free and fair
elections.
That
process must include a complete and comprehensive overhaul of the shambolic
voters roll. Mugabe and ZANU have in the past refused to open the voters
roll for public inspection. They need it as it is in order to rig
elections.
There must
also be a substantive involvement in the process by all the global
political agreement partners ; SADC, African Union and the United Nations
and in all the stages of the process from auditing the voters roll, voter
registration, delimitation of constituencies, campaigning, voting, counting
of ballots, and the announcements of the results.
Poll
results must be announced from each polling station as soon as counting is
complete. The results must also be posted outside each polling station to
allow independent monitors to make their independent tally of the results.
This will
be a tall order for Mugabe and ZANU. They will opt for a process they will
control in order to allow him to rig the elections. Mugabe and ZANU will
work hand in hand with the army , police, and the militia thugs in order to
manipulate the process to his favor.
MDC must
insist on iron- clad guarantees for free and fair elections under conditions
similar to ones listed above. The likelihood of Mugabe and ZANU accepting
these conditions is virtually nonexistent. Which means there is a
possibility that the negotiations for such a process for free and fair
elections will most likely break down.
MDC and
civil society must think far ahead and come up strategies in the event of
this breakdown.